Previous Fusion valuation for MTU (1/2 year). Note EPS have grown substantially since this valuation and in particular that EPS for first 1/2 years 2010 was alread
Discounted Dividend Model Forward yield of 7.6% (Est EPS* Payout ratio/Price. =$0.138 * 70%/....$1.27) Basic DDM Price Target: $2.4 I also ran two and three stage dividend models. Both derived slightly higher targets, but are more prone to garbage in. Earnings Based Valuation Targets Discounted Earnings based: $2.9 This is similar to a discounted cash flow analysis, but based on blended earnings estimates and book value. EPS * P/E Weighted Target: $2.4. I apply a probability (WAG) to each of the below possibilities and sum the products.
Refer also EPS / valuation table on EPS / PE ratio and you get the picture of the underlying valuation gap given 2011 EPS > 18cents!