Although on the mend, I don't think industry conditions have improved enough to give a better than forecast geotechnical result.
The AUD depreciation against the USD will also adversely effect the valuation of the borrowings. I am not sure why they locked into USD. Presume it was the better interest rate or maybe a prerequisite for the US foreign aid projects.
So my expectations are on the lower end of the forecast range. I think we have another 12-18 months before the share price starts to re-rate, but coming off a very low base the potential rewards are still there.
Regards
Westwind
COF Price at posting:
16.0¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held