One thing I tried to be clear about is that my 1/3rd odds of losing my money, is not something I've "worked out", it's a guess. What I'm hoping is that it's an overly pessimistic guess. This whole opportunity is one that I have very, very little certainty about (both in terms of the potential upside, and the likelihood of the downside eventuating).
With such little certainty, the only way I will venture my money, is if even a highly conservative evaluation indicates a profitable return. I am hoping my 1/3rd guess is highly conservative, as well as the magnitude and timeliness of the upside.
But, let's be clear, it's all guesswork.
Feedback, page-16
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Mkt cap ! $60.80M | |||
| Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
| 14.5¢ | 14.5¢ | 14.0¢ | $18.98K | 135.1K |
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| No. | Vol. | Price($) |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 173364 | 14.0¢ |
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| Price($) | Vol. | No. |
|---|---|---|
| 14.5¢ | 278210 | 4 |
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