I rang the company to ask a few questions about the Sensitivity Tornado in the Expert's report. Although there are no figures quoted it looks like the variations are based on +/- 10%.
However directors and management cannot understand the low share price level compared to the cash flow figures provided. Nor can I but it's good to see a bit of upward movement.
It is a very confusing report but I believe the most appropriate figures for a shareholder looking at cash flow available (after debt/ creditor repayment) are 2017 $6.3m, 2018 $50.9m, 2019 $51.1m, 2020 $9.3m. This provides a discounted total of $102.4m to which should be added (10% lift in copper price: $21.4m) and (5% reduction in forex rate:$6m) for a total of $129.8m (22.8 cents per share).
In layman's terms that means if you bought HGO shares today at 23 cents you should expect a nominal rate of return of 9.6% per annum. That looks like a buy to me! It also excludes any value from underground resources (which could be in a mining phase within 12 months) and exploration prospects.
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I rang the company to ask a few questions about the Sensitivity...
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Last
5.8¢ |
Change
0.001(1.75%) |
Mkt cap ! $108.9M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
5.7¢ | 5.8¢ | 5.7¢ | $40.88K | 712.2K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 637837 | 5.7¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
5.8¢ | 431267 | 5 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 49767 | 0.080 |
2 | 230000 | 0.079 |
2 | 136415 | 0.078 |
1 | 97825 | 0.077 |
2 | 600000 | 0.075 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.083 | 137770 | 2 |
0.084 | 288879 | 3 |
0.085 | 2009000 | 2 |
0.089 | 229500 | 1 |
0.090 | 76002 | 3 |
Last trade - 15.34pm 22/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
HGO (ASX) Chart |