I was modelling what the trial mining would look like if:
A. BBX ever got to the mining capability of a well known aussie junior (MOY)
B. BBX was trial mining and what sort of profit they would turn.
I used 5g/t average for BBX just because it's something that not many people would refute, given the significant numbers we've seen
Please note that I modelled all of this off of the MOY ACTUAL QUARTER OF MARCH2018. All of their data is real. ASIC/recovery/grades/sales /etc is all real.
I made some assumptions.
A. The cost of processing 474k tonnes of ore would be the same between MOY and BBX. I understand that it will be different in reality. I figure, MOY has higher labour cost while BBX will have higher transport costs. so i cancelled them out and said they were the same.
B. All costs are variable and the cost could scale down in a linear fashion to match the 25,000 KiloTonne (Per quarter) trial mining effort. I understand fixed costs would be involved. but it's hard to determine when all you're going off is MOY's quarterly.
Column 1
Column 2
Column 3
Column 4
0
PER QUARTER
MOY (ACTUAL)
BBX (MODEL)
BBX (TRIAL MINING)
1
ore processed
474,420
474,420
25,000
2
g/t
1.56
5
5
3
grams total
740,095
2,372,100
125,000
4
recovery
85.50%
85.50%
85.50%
5
grams recovered
632,781
2,028,146
106,875
6
oz recovered
20,412
65,424
3,448
7
TOTAL cost of mining and recovery for Quarter MARCH 2018
$26,433,933
$26,433,932
$1,393,000
8
ASIC for Q March 2018
$1,295
$404
$404
9
Sales (Per Quarter)
$34,700,915
$111,220,882
$5,860,887
10
Total Profit (Per Quarter)
$8,266,983
$84,786,950
$4,467,887
11
Take from partner (Per Quarter)
$0
$0
$2,233,944
12
Company Profit (Per Quarter)
$8,266,983
$84,786,950
$2,233,944
Note: If i was to scale the grade to 50, this happens:
Column 1
Column 2
Column 3
Column 4
0
PER QUARTER
MOY (ACTUAL)
BBX (MODEL)
BBX (TRIAL MINING)
1
ore processed
474,420
474,420
25,000
2
g/t
1.56
50
50
3
grams total
740,095
23,721,000
1,250,000
4
recovery
85.50%
85.50%
85.50%
5
grams recovered
632,781
20,281,455
1,068,750
6
oz recovered
20,412
654,240
34,476
7
TOTAL cost of mining and recovery for Quarter MARCH 2018
$26,433,933
$26,433,932
$1,393,000
8
ASIC for Q March 2018
$1,295
$40
$40
9
Sales (Per Quarter)
$34,700,915
$1,112,208,823
$58,608,871
10
Total Profit (Per Quarter)
$8,266,983
$1,085,774,891
$57,215,871
11
Take from partner (Per Quarter)
$0
$0
$28,607,935
12
Company Profit (Per Quarter)
$8,266,983
$1,085,774,891
$28,607,935
Thoughts?
Thanks
Smite.
BBX Price at posting:
16.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held