Cam, have I told you that I wish I were working for you? so much I'd love to study from your spreadsheet and investment papers...
anyway, I love your approach in assessing ALQ and did a little case study trying similar approach on MND. (sorry that I'm not posting it on the MND page, as I wanted a conversation with you.)
With a -15% revenue growth to its Engineering Construction for FY 14, 10% to Maintenance, 20% to Infrastructure, and 29.4 mil in the corporate elimination line (in line with FY 2008, also with a possibility of restructuring and laying-off cost), I got a revenue of 2084. assuming a 10% EBITDA margin maintained, that's EBITDA 208.4. EV / EBITDA multiple could range from 6 to 7, I reckon, looking at it's historical valuation, and that is a price range of approximately 16 to 18.
with their strong net cash position through its records, I assume Debt is not a major concern.
With a prioirty of capital safety first, 16.5 might be a BUY for me...
Now all these are rather back-of-envelop. really need to read through the last 5 FY's presentations at least to get better idea. personally enjoyed the excercise and would love to hear more from you...
Thanks a lot.
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Cam, have I told you that I wish I were working for you? so much...
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Last
$16.16 |
Change
0.500(3.19%) |
Mkt cap ! $6.624B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$15.94 | $16.32 | $15.85 | $19.49M | 1.206M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 4333 | $16.15 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$16.16 | 370 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 20 | 14.910 |
1 | 3835 | 14.880 |
2 | 1505 | 14.870 |
2 | 9925 | 14.860 |
2 | 5180 | 14.850 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
14.940 | 1121 | 2 |
14.950 | 10000 | 1 |
14.960 | 1505 | 2 |
14.970 | 3835 | 1 |
14.980 | 8381 | 4 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 22/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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