Yep you're right Antman,
EPR has had 46 and 50 out there for a farmin opportunity for quite some time...i still reckon there was something in 46 as that rig sat out there for a ridiculous amount of time for a complete duster.
I reckon Beach's line of thought could be:
Fermat had shows, Bernoulli may be a goer (as this lead had 3D seismic run over it and Fermat only had 2D), P50 contains the motherload.