ADU 0.00% 71.5¢ adamus resources limited

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    Key Points
    • Scoping study confirms economic viability of Salman project.
    • Acquisition of adjacent ground potential to add high grade
    feed to project.
    • Expect resource base to approach 1.8-2.0moz over 6 mths.
    • Bankable feasibility study to be completed by end of CY’06
    • Valuation and target price $0.99/sh.
    Comments
    A positive scoping study, aggressive drill program and new land
    acquisition adjacent to its main resource augurs well for ADU over
    the coming year.
    We believe Salman will become a ~ 100koz pa gold mine and with
    over 500 sqkm of tenements and numerous soil anomalies to test
    we believe ultimately the resource will grow to ~ 2moz and reserve
    to 0.8-0.9moz.
    A scoping study was completed on the Salman/Anwia deposits.
    The key assumptions were:
    Capex: US$57m (includes 15% contingency)
    Strip ratio: 3.6:1
    T’put: 1.3mtpa
    Production: ~ 100koz pa @ US$286/oz
    Optimised Rsc: 680koz @ 2.65 g/t Au
    Mine Life: 6.5yr
    Net Free CF : A$125m (using a gold price of US$550/oz)
    (The Net Free cashflow is after capex, pretax and an exchange rate of $0.74).
    This estimate was in line with our estimate which form the basis of
    our $0.99/sh valuation, however we include a nominal value for the
    remaining rsc ($10/oz) and $5m for exploration potential.
    A potential timeline to development would be a feasibility study
    completed by end of CY’06 (cost $6-7m) followed by construction
    and first production in late CY’07/early CY’08.
    We believe there is upside to our valuation with mineralisation
    still open along strike and down dip and potentially higher grade
    mineralisation at recently acquired adjacent prospect.
    The recent acquisition of the Nkroful property for A$3.5m (cash
    $1m, scrip $2.5m) appears to be a very good deal and price. This
    property is located 3km S of Anwia and 10km SW of Salman.
    Previous drilling has intersected some high grade mineralisation
    including 6m @ 148 g/t from 50m, 14.1m @ 10.1 g/t from 1m and
    35m @ 2.2 g/t from surface.
    Adamus Resources
    (ADU $0.80) Speculative Buy
    ADU believe there is potential for a modest high grade resource,
    say 100-200koz @ 8-10 g/t. This higher grade ore would obviously
    enhance the Salman project and could result in the overall grade
    increasing closer to 2.8-3.0 g/t (currently 2.6 g/t Au). This has not
    been factored into our valuation.
    ADU offers both gold price and exploration leverage. It plans to spend
    $3-4m on exploration in CY’06 whilst completing the feasibility study
    with the target of increasing the current 1.5moz resource closer to
    2moz. It trades at a discount to our valuation and with numerous
    COMPANY ACTIVITIES
    Adamus Resources Ltd listed on the ASX in June 2001 on some grass root
    exploration tenements in WA. In August 2002 it acquired the Salman project
    located in Sth Ghana and commenced a confimatory drill program. In Jan’04 it
    acquired the neighbouring Anwia deposit and consolidated its land package around
    these two projects.
    After an extensive drill program ADU announced its initial resource from Salman
    and Anwia of 720koz. Further drilling lead to a resource upgrade of 1.2moz in
    Feb’05. The bulk of this resource is oxide and defined to a maximum depth of ~
    120m.
    The company aims to complete a prefeasibility/scoping study by the end of CY’05
    and assuming a successful outcome would immediately commence a bankable
    feasibility, likely to take 9-12months. We envisage that based on a successful
    feasibility study first gold pour could be late CY’07/early CY’08.
    The management team is headed by Hamish Halliday, a geologist with over 10
    yrs experience and the recent addition of Gary Brabham as Technical Director
    strengthens the board.
    AUSTRALIAN RESEARCH
    TOP 20 SHAREHOLDERS AS AT 02 MARCH 2006
    Shareholders Shares (m) (%)
    1 Westpac Custodian Nominees Ltd 18.40 20.74
    2 Mr Robert Charles Gardner 10.84 12.22
    3 Citicorp Nominees Pty Ltd 7.27 8.20
    4 Macquarie Bank Ltd 7.00 7.89
    5 Semafo (Barbados) Ltd 4.00 4.51
    6 National Nominees Ltd 3.83 4.32
    7 Hightime Investments Pty Ltd 3.15 3.55
    8 Hightime Investments Pty Ltd 3.00 3.38
    9 Macquarie Bank Ltd 1.75 1.97
    10 Aurora Sky Investments Ltd 1.14 1.28
    11 Dundee Precious Metals Inc 1.07 1.20
    12 ANZ Nominees Ltd 1.06 1.19
    13 Mr Mark Trevor Bojanjac 1.02 1.14
    14 McTavish Industries Pty Ltd 1.00 1.13
    15 Macquarie Bank Ltd 0.90 1.01
    16 Baygold Investments Pty Ltd 0.70 0.79
    17 Osiris Investment Partners 0.60 0.67
    18 Mr Paul Delius Haege 0.55 0.61
    19 Dr John Leonard Daniels 0.50 0.56
    20 Long Short Gold Portfolio Ltd 0.47 0.53
    TOTAL 68.25 76.89
    MARKET STATISTICS
    Share Price $0.80A$/sh Directors
    Issued Capital J.Hopkins Chairman
    FP Ord 92.6m H.Halliday Managing Director
    Opts (var $0.25-$0.45) 2.5m G.Brabham Director
    Total Dil. FPOrd 95.1m M.Bojanjic Director
    Shareholders
    Market Capitalisation $74m Gardner 28.6%
    Enterprise Value $68m MBL 11.2%
    Debt $-m Dundee Securities 11.2%
    Cash $6m African Lion 4.5%
    SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE
    0.20
    0.40
    0.60
    0.80
    1.00
    0
    500
    1000
    1500
    2000
    2500
    3000
    3500
    4000
    ADU VOLUME ('000)
    ADU SHARE PRICE ($)
    Mar-06Jan-06Nov-05Sep-05Jul-05May-05Mar-05
    soil/geophysical targets we believe there is further upside.
    RESOURCES QUARTERLY  MARCH 2006
    Copyright & Distribution: The material in this communication is prepared for the exclusive use of clients of Euroz Securities Ltd
    Disclaimer & Disclosure:
    (ACN 000 364 465) only. Euroz Securities is a licensed
    securities dealer and participating organisation of the Australian Stock Exchange Limited.
    Euroz Securities and its associates declare that they deal in securities as part of their securities business and consequently may have a relevant interest in the
    securities recommended herein (if any). Euroz Securities declares that it may have acted as an underwriter, arranger, co-arranger or advisor in equity capital raisings, and will have (cont...)

    Adamus Resources
    Analyst  Andrew Clayton
    AUSTRALIAN RESEARCH
    ADAMUS RESOURCES (ADU) YEAR END 30 JUNE
    ASSET VALUATION Base Case
    Salman/Anwia
    Hedging
    Corporate
    Remaining Rsc @ $10/oz
    Exploration
    Unpaid Capital
    Cash
    Total @ 10% nom
    Total @ 0% nom
    A$m A$/sh
    55 0.60
    (0) (0.00)
    16 0.18
    7 0.08
    5 0.06
    0 0.00
    6 0.07
    89 0.99
    152 1.67
    Total @ 5% nom 116 1.28
    Total @ 15% nom 66 0.73
    Valuation @ spot (10% nom)
    Valuation @ 10 year average (10% nom)
    87 0.96
    (16) (0.18)
    FORECAST PRODUCTION 2006f 2007f 2008f 2009f
    Salman/Anwia 100% --83 105
    TOTAL (koz) --83 105
    Avg Cash cost
    Avg Total Cost
    Avg Spot Price
    Avg Price Rec’d
    254 254
    363 364
    550 555
    550 555
    RATIO ANALYSIS 2006f 2007f 2008f 2009f
    CF (A$m)
    CF / Sh (Ac/sh)
    CF Ratio (x)
    (2)
    (2)
    (23.7)
    (3) 26 37
    (3) 28 40
    (29.0) 2.9 2.0
    Earnings (A$m)
    EPS (Ac/sh)
    EPS Growth (%)
    Earnings Ratio (x)
    (1)
    (1)
    0%
    (36.4)
    (2) 7 11
    (2) 8 12
    0% -536% 56%
    (44.7) 10.2 6.6
    E’prise Val. (A$m)
    EV : EBITDA (x)
    EV : EBIT (x)
    124
    (41.2)
    (41.2)
    124 104 70
    (49.4) 3.4 1.7
    (49.4) 5.8 2.8
    Net Debt / ND+Eq (%)
    Interest Cover (x)
    EBIT Margin (%)
    ROE (%)
    ROA (%)
    52%
    42
    -
    -1%
    -1%
    52% 35% -7%
    31 4 10-29% 31%
    -4% 15% 17%
    -2% 17% 23%
    Div. (Ac/sh)
    Div. payout ratio
    Div. Yield
    -
    0%
    -
    ---
    0% 0% 0%
    0% 0% 0%
    Div. Franking ----
    PROFIT & LOSS 2006f 2007f 2008f 2009f
    Gold Sales --62 81
    Hedging Revenue
    Deferred Revenue
    -
    -
    --
    --
    (0)
    -
    Interest Revenue 0 0 0 1
    Other Revenue ----
    TOTAL REVENUE 0 0 63 82
    Operating Costs
    Dep/Amort
    O/H + New Bus Dev
    W/O & Provisions
    EBITDA
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -29
    -12
    3 3
    --
    34
    37
    16
    3
    -
    44
    EBITInterest Expense
    Net Profit Before Tax
    Tax
    Minorities
    (4)
    0
    (4)
    (1)
    -
    (3) 18
    0 5
    (3) 13
    (1) 5
    -1
    25
    4
    21
    8
    1
    NET PROFIT
    Net Abnormal Gain/(Loss)
    NET PROFIT After Abn’l
    (3)
    -
    (3)
    (2) 7
    --
    (2) 7
    11
    -
    11
    CASHFLOW 2006 2007f 2008f 2009f
    Net Profit
    + Working Capital Adj.
    + Dep/Amort
    + Provisions
    (3)
    -
    --
    (2) 8
    --
    -12
    --
    13
    -
    16
    -
    + Tax Expense
    - Tax Paid
    (1)
    -
    (1) 5
    --
    8
    -
    Operating Cashflow
    -Capex + Development
    -Exploration
    -Assets Purchased
    (4)
    -
    5
    -
    (3) 26
    76 1
    2 2
    --
    37
    1
    2
    -
    +Asset Sales ----
    Investing Cashflow
    +Equity Issues
    +Loan D’down/Receivable
    -Loan Repayment
    -Dividends
    (5)
    6
    -
    -
    -
    (78) (3)
    25 -
    65 -
    1 14
    --
    (3)
    -
    -
    14
    -
    Financing Cashflow
    Period Sur (Def)
    Cash Balance
    6
    (3)
    2
    89 (14)
    8 9
    10 19
    (14)
    21
    40
    BALANCE SHEET 2006f 2007f 2008f 2009f
    Assets
    Cash 2 10 19 40
    Current Receivables 0 0 0 0
    Other Current Assets ----
    Non-Current Assets 22 98 86 70
    Total Assets 23 107 105 110
    Liabilities
    Borrowings
    Current Accounts Payable
    Other Liabilities
    -
    1
    0
    60 49
    1 1
    0 0
    35
    1
    0
    Total Liabilities 1 61 50 36
    Net Assets 22 46 55 74
    RESERVES AND RESOURCES
    Reserves Resources
    mt g/t
    Salman/AniwaEquity Share Gold (mos)
    Enterprise Value / oz (A$)
    moz
    0.00
    0
    mt g/t
    22.0 2.1
    moz
    1.5
    1.50
    46
    RESOURCES QUARTERLY  MARCH 2006
    complete, reliable or up to date, nor do we accept any obligation to correct or update the opinions in it.
    (cont...) received a fee for its services, for any company mentioned within this report during the last three years. You should not act on any recommendation issued by Euroz Securities without
    fi rst consulting your investment advisor in order to ascertain whether the recommendation (if any) is appropriate, having regard to your investment objectives, fi nancial situation and particular
    needs. Euroz Securities believes that the information and advice contained herein is correct at the time of compilation, however we make no representation or warranty that it is accurate,

 
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