SMD 0.00% 1.0¢ syndicated metals limited

copper reaches new record highs

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  1. 1,208 Posts.
    http://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFLDE6BC0ZC20101213


    * China copper output hits record high in Nov

    * Goldman Sachs sees copper above $11,000 in 1 year

    * Focus shifts to US FOMC meeting on Tuesday



    By Marie-Louise Gumuchian and Melanie Burton

    LONDON, Dec 13 (Reuters) - Copper hit successive record
    highs on Monday, boosted by economic prospects for top consumer
    China, and supply concerns that could propel prices even higher.

    Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3
    finished at $9,220, from $8,980 at the close on Friday. The
    metal used in power and construction earlier peaked at $9,235.25
    a tonne.

    Copper's gains also boosted other metals, with nickel
    CMNI3 and lead CMPB3 edging to one-month highs.

    "Obviously the China outlook is helping copper, but more
    than a general story it's very much a (fundamental) copper
    story," said BNP Paribas analyst Stephen Briggs.

    Base metals have reacted positively to Chinese import data
    out last week and the fact Beijing has not raised interest rates
    despite climbing inflation. [ID:nBJL002113]

    Investors have been watching closely for any policy moves
    that would dampen demand in the world's top copper consumer.

    Import data from China, which last week showed strong
    numbers after a slump in October and the launch of
    physically-backed exchange-traded products (ETPs) on Friday have
    raised expectations for demand but also worries over potential
    price distortions.

    These factors, against a mine supply shortfall could propel
    the metal to new peaks in the months ahead, analysts say.

    "We maintain our 12-mo ahead copper price forecast of
    $11,000/mt and believe that prices could spike substantially
    above these levels, most likely in late 2011," said Goldman
    Sachs in a research note on Monday. [ID:nLDE6BC11U]

    However, MF Global analyst Ed Meir noted the risk of
    a correction was growing.

    "We still believe some trouble could lie ahead, as a rate
    rise will have to come through sooner rather than later,
    triggering a modest correction in a number of already overheated
    commodity markets," said Meir in a research note.

    For Tuesday markets are watching the U.S. Federal Open
    Market Committee meeting where any moves on monetary policy or
    modulations in tone could prove the next major touchstone for
    metals, if they impact the dollar. [ID:nL3E6ND06K]

    A stronger dollar makes commodities more expensive for
    holders of other currencies.


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    Bizarre that SMD is still languishing. I expect this one to really improve Jan forwards now that its cashed up with a strong drilling programme planned at new and existing targets
 
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