Shorters are banking on these things:
1. Slowing birthrates;
2. Increased competition;
3. No SAMR granted to BAL; and
4. Increased Chinese Regulatory hurdles.
However I believe that:
1. BAL growth is following Organic growth trends worldwide for healthy eating and replacing mass produced food;
2. Sufficient brand distinguisgment from other organic brands and local brands;
3. SAMR will be granted + they own a CFDA facility unlike their competitors;
4. I don't buy the Chinese regulatory boogie man. This is the 4th time analysts have brought out this issue over the last couple of years and Aussie companies are still competing.