CIA 1.60% $5.73 champion iron limited

Aqua, Refer to page 18 of the FS as below:...

  1. 892 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 101
    Aqua,

    Refer to page 18 of the FS as below:

    http://www.championiron.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/2018_06-QIO-Corporate-Presentation.pdf

    It's based on a Bloom Lake realised price of US$76/t CFR China with shipping to China at US$19/t

    Now we are mid-2018 & what's changed?

    Bloom Lake realised price is US$97/t CFR China with shipping to China up to US$28/t

    That's US$21/t more for our product vs an extra US$9/t in costs

    High bulk shipping costs means high demand for bulk commodities which means high prices.

    CIA's profit margin is cushioned in two ways against a dramatic fall in iron ore price from here.

    1. If Bloom Lake's realised price dropped by US$20/t due to a large drop in iron ore demand from China & therefore less steel production, then the steel-making coking coal price will also fall & I guarantee you that capsize bulk shipping rates will also fall sharply.

    2. In the scenario above, Australia's two largest commodity exports will be hit & take the Aussie dollar down with them. Iron ore is priced in US$ therefore more AUD$ profit.

    CIA is no Atlas (AGO) - it's the polar opposite.

    Under the above scenario CIA is just back to the long-term FS scenario.

    It's the low-grade Aussie producers that have to worry - Atlas is dead, Cliffs just walked from Western Australia & super low-cost FMG's share price is heading down to $4.

    CIA's share price is heading in the other direction!

    .
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add CIA (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
$5.73
Change
0.090(1.60%)
Mkt cap ! $2.994B
Open High Low Value Volume
$5.60 $5.73 $5.59 $4.674M 821.6K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 5268 $5.72
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$5.74 37877 4
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 29/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
CIA (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.