NMR 0.00% 3.2¢ native mineral resources holdings limited

Freehold...I am afraid I completely disagree about your coal...

  1. 10,867 Posts.
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    Freehold...

    I am afraid I completely disagree about your coal assessment.. although I don't know the MC of the other Botswana coalers so you could be right on the comparison to peers part...

    This coal is rubbish.. see below:

    -High strip ratios (according to todays ann, 10-1 to 60-1 SR)
    -below average calorific values compared to worldwide peers (mongolia, SA, Canada, US, Australia)
    -Low yielding, it has lower yield barriers often in 20-30% range and uppers rarely above 80%. Knowing the technical mining capabilities of botswana they would likely see an average yield of below 50 due to dilution
    -Total sulphur is on the upper border of export spec, even at the best of times, with lower seams often above. And thats post-wash.
    -It has fairly high (but not hugely high) inherent moisture at 9%

    Ontop of all that, it has to look at 'innovative transport options' because obviously the infrastructure isn't there to support it.

    the coal could only be sold at a sub-thermal export price (currently sitting at $85/tonne AUD) which I don't think they could mine and wash for that price, let alone make back any capital investment.

    Coal price needs to be a fair bit higher, and infrastructure more advanced for this coal to become economically viable.

    They should concentrate on Specimens reef, thats where this speccies real value lies IMO.
 
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