"US$32million for 30% of the project values CHN's 60% at US$64m... or AUD$60.4m... or 24.2cents/CHN share. The Eritreans got a bargain out of it, trumped even the Patterson clients."
Isn't it normal for large capital raisings (which is effectively what the 30% sale is) to be done at significant discount to market? After all, if an investor is going to risk 32 million dollars, they'd probably want it to be a "sure thing". If the investor is the govt (and the provider of vital permits etc), its logical to expect the investment price to be even more of a bargain.
So the 24c/share (plus 12c/share for the 32m cash now in the bank) means that 36c/share is an absolute bargain basement "sure thing" kind of a price - the price that powerful insiders get set at.
With estimated cash costs of less than $350/oz, the gold price could literally halve from here and 100,000oz/year would give a gross cash flow of $40,000,000... Current market cap is around 80 mil, enterprise value around 50mil.
(Of course the Eritrean public could always have a riot or two, overthrow the govt and kick all foreigners out. I wonder how much sov risk insurance would cost?)
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Last
$1.34 |
Change
-0.050(3.60%) |
Mkt cap ! $571.8M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.40 | $1.41 | $1.33 | $2.161M | 1.585M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 18387 | $1.34 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.34 | 3757 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 386752 | 0.145 |
6 | 299000 | 0.140 |
8 | 191611 | 0.135 |
6 | 319853 | 0.130 |
5 | 292000 | 0.125 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.150 | 40000 | 2 |
0.155 | 367180 | 1 |
0.160 | 460998 | 10 |
0.165 | 353140 | 7 |
0.170 | 248919 | 2 |
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CHN (ASX) Chart |