CER 0.00% 32.0¢ centro retail group

cer currently trading at cap rate of 9.1%

  1. 4,538 Posts.
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    Hi Guys,

    The situation further amplifies how disgraceful the situation is:

    Current market cap $644m (assumes 28c share price and 2.3b shares on issue)

    NTA as at 31/12/10: $943M

    Value of Aust portfolio as at 31/12/10: $1.64b (31 Dec 10)
    Source: Page 19 HY Presentation

    Weighted avg cap rate 31/12/10: 7.52%
    Source: Page 19 HY Presentation

    Therefore NOI is: $123M


    Diff between NTA and current valuation: $299M


    Therefore, if the portfolio were liquidated and we were only to realise the current valuation of $644m (28c per share),

    the portfolio would be liquidated at $1.34b, a discount of 18.3%,

    and a cap rate of: NOI $123M/Prop Value $1.34b = 9.2%!!

    The market is currently valuing our portfolio at a cap rate of 9.2% alongside a gearing of 40%.

    WRT's weighted avg cap rate is only 6%!

    Mind you, NTA should be higher for 30 June 10 as the cap rates on the Aust portfolio should have levelled off at 7.5%, which means the value of the portfolio should increase by the increase in NOI during this period. A 4% increase for the full year equates to a 2% HY increase, so Aust portfolio should have increased by $1.64b x 2% = 33c or 1.5c NTA

    Not sure if you have visited the website but the more numbers on there the better.

    Cheers





 
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