Quite right Kist, when you look at the thread it is Dhukka who makes the forecast and Dhukka that was proved wrong.
I can safely predict that Dhukka's forecast will never be realised and I can also safely predict that the amounts expressed in forrests "intelligent guesses" will fall true - he may have been out a wee bit on time.
It is not a matter of "if" but "when"
