KZL 0.00% 12.0¢ kagara ltd

caution with regards to zinc stocks

  1. 1,686 Posts.
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    Hi guys,

    Just a word of caution with regards to zinc stocks. We may temporarily see a bit of a build. I stress may.

    There is 40,000t on a ship on the way to New Orleans. I am not sure if this is accounted for in LME stock levels. I have also seen backorders fall to a low level with about 10,000t worth of backorders dropping off in the past week.

    It would be nice to start 2012 with a level under 700,000t but we might end up starting with about 750,000t.

    At the moment it's 736,000 with 30,000t on backorder but activity has dropped off a bit and probably won't pick up until after the Chinese New Year on January 23.

    So don't be too surprised or disheartened if you see some inflow in the next 6-8 weeks. It's normal for this time of year. Prices have improved a bit, so miners might also be cashing in a little but I would expect they are still stockpiling in the hope of fetching the $1-$1.10 price range from February. At this stage futures are indicating a move to 96c by late January.

    Cheers,
    BB
 
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