Originally posted by maxter
The April 2018 Report valuation pasted below
the assumptions are based on a 65% risk factor which seems to equate to a 1/3 reduction in ascribed value of $1.877 bill.
TThe share dilution is based on 840 mill fully paid shares at 16cents/share diluted by 30% equity component to finance taking the total shares on issuevto 2.4 bill.
Since April the foundation assumptions have moved significantly. There are now c1 bill shares on issue and SP is 10 cents for a start. On a 1/3 equity component coming from a share issue at 10 cents/share the dilution would be to c 4 bill being 1 bill on issue and 3 bill for equity raising.
Not sure why everyone is so convinced by this "valuation".
The market currently values TNG at 9.9c. Nothing less, nothing more.
Future value is clearly not the same as present value. All this talk about future value being de-risked clearly isn't taking into account intangible risk and people's inherent doubt. Future possible values aside, with current doubt, the market values TNG at exact 9.9c.
And I am not sure why everyone is so giddy about Ti prices going up and complaining that TNG is undervalued. If Ti prices have managed to shoot up in all this time TNG hasn't managed to produce anything, then Ti prices can just as quickly drop in the near future before TNG can produce anything.
Let the optimism die down. Let the SP drift to 5c. True believers can buy in cheap at that point.