MOG 0.00% 0.5¢ moby oil & gas ltd

I think both MEO and MOG need MEO's farmout to succeed, and on...

  1. 6,352 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 62
    I think both MEO and MOG need MEO's farmout to succeed, and on very good terms.
    If MEO let 50% of Artemis go for the cost of free carry in one well and seismic costs, then I think the market will heavily discount MEO's claims of 12tcf, 32% POS.

    I am hoping to see MEO get seismic backcosts, 2:1 on the first well, and 1.4:1 on two optional followup wells.
    That would be the deal for MEO, and CUE/MOG would remain at 15% ea carried on the one well since their farmout to MEO is a separate deal.

    If MEO fail to close, then I don't think it will be good for MOG even though they hypothetically get 50% of the permit.
    Unfortunately, 50% of an unfunded prospect is not worth much in the markets eyes, especially if a farminee has just walked away.
    Furthermore, MOG's acquisition of Artemis/RankinTrend is "conditional" on MOG raising $22.4mil for Braveheart/Cornea.

    So what comes first, the chicken or the egg?
    I think MOG's RI "needs" a successful farmout by MEO.
    This will "confirm" the value of Artemis -> justify MOG's current sp -> support the RI and placement -> satisfy the condition for MOG to acquire Artemis/RT in the first place.

    Wildcard to that scenario is another move by Albers to amend the "conditions".
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add MOG (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.