I am not currently invested in Bega but have been doing some research ( also into A2m and some other dairy companies) as I wanted to get a bit of a feel for the sector. ..
I am now sharing in case it’s useful to other potential investors but mainly because I am hoping for objective feedback/clarification from those following the company..
Cheers
Price:
With respect to A2M it seems it may be a long time (if ever?) before it drops back to some of its technical gaps whereas at Bega, seeing as the price has dropped below the $7.10 of the recent SPP it may be good value, especially as trading close to the $6.68 TA support line charted above.
But I am concerned about the imminent court case with Fonterra and recent propensity for other legal strife .
If the Fonterra case judgement goes against Bega what would the short term response be?
( if and when you can spare time @Saragian I would appreciate your TA perspective please )
Investors :
Coopers investments which bought in last year comes across as a successful and dynamic fund manager and has recently increased its’ position to 9.52% .
There are other institutions roosting with solid positions - Perpetual with around 13% and Macquarie
(As far as Coopers goes here are some recent reports on what it looks for; http://www.cooperinvestors.com/pdf/Reports/BrunswickFund/BrunswickFundQJun18.pdf http://www.cooperinvestors.com/pdf/Reports/BrunswickFund/BrunswickFundQMar18.pdf
The fact that seemingly with thorough understanding of the company including current legal proceedings they have increased their position is encouraging .)
Financials/potential :
Last FY Bega performed well, funding a new dairy factory (expected to add $20m EBITDA) plus earning decent profit.
Energetically it seems growth- oriented; buying a Queensland peanut company and Vegemite etc last year, and now now looking to acquire Capilano Honey ?
If he is the ‘backbone’ of the company is there any hint of what kind of succession plan is in place ?
Also with regards management; the new CEO Paul von Heerwaarden :
There have been a lot of changes since he was promoted Feb 1, 2017.
......most of them seem to be excellent expansive strategies but I am curious about the amount of associated litigation.
Legal and other issues:
Can anyone tell me if there has there been any developments with regards legal proceedings with Fonterra over brand name ‘theft’ by Bega (despite long standing exclusivity arrangements) . ‘https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/f...r/news-story/90a04c5866d683bae9dde49c4bfbf0cd
This was all supposed to be being heard ‘mid’ year .
If the proceedings go against Bega it seems it will not be good for the share price despite the confidence of those participating in SPP.
Blackmores and Bega
Also I would appreciate some more information on the connection( if any ) with Blackmores in regards Bega/Tatura’s current ‘nutritionals’ research ...there was originally to be a two year JV between these companies but this was scrapped and reformatted as a “customiser/ supplier” connection after a spectacular fail of the JV infant formula launch into China? https://www.*.com.au/the-blackmores-and-bega-infant-formula-push-into-china-isnt-working-2016-10
Specifically in regards the nutritional research currently being undertaken, do people feel Tatura is planning on allying with Blackmores more closely again in future or potentially going into competition with that company as it has done with Fonterra ?
‘Elite’ product offering?
Other information I am hoping for some help with is Bega’s presence/potential in the ‘elite ’ milk market ..
ie
-the jersey/guernsey A2 milkers
-organic offerings
-high protein offerings
-Grass fed/sunshine grazed milk , cream and butter and cheese (Vitamin K2 a demonstrated anti-aging nutrient requiring these conditions )
- other nutritional factors like night milking https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24243550 http://www.lullabymilk.com/
(20min delay)
