My view on this stock is its worth $0.69/share before any share dilutions. And it is a hyper-bullish estimate.
If I assign it a hyper-bullish free cash flow of $5 million and it can grow its free cash flow at the rate of 50% CAGR for next five years without any CAPEX and other expenses, I want to repeat this, "no expenses", not even an iota of provision for one-off expenses (a bothering common practice in ASX listed companies these days). Then I assign it a 3% growth rate of its terminal cashflow and discount it by 10%. I get 68 cents /share. P/E ratio derived from its cashflow earning per share at its inflated fair value is 55.
Now this stock had September quarter outflow of 54%. The netflow inflow for FUM accordingly to their announcement is actually 292.
Other platforms are vey close and eager to detach themselves from banks and be spun-off under their own banner as well. This is to be an independent platform and still work mainly for the banks. It is a bit hypothetical, but may happen. Platform admin management fees may also also get cut down by more than half.
The chance of it growing at my rate of 50% is close to zero and the chance of it getting shorted or sell-off is super high, I'd say 99%. Pretty confident what will happen to this, although market is random.
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My view on this stock is its worth $0.69/share before any share...
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Last
66.5¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $250.6M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
66.0¢ | 66.5¢ | 66.0¢ | $130.8K | 197.1K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 5805 | 66.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
67.0¢ | 164241 | 8 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 7000 | 0.590 |
1 | 52000 | 0.575 |
6 | 111190 | 0.570 |
2 | 35080 | 0.565 |
5 | 50580 | 0.560 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.600 | 131318 | 9 |
0.605 | 48960 | 3 |
0.610 | 44045 | 4 |
0.615 | 78993 | 6 |
0.620 | 110891 | 5 |
Last trade - 11.18am 22/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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