My take on what’s going on ,
Rome wasn’t built in a day !
Important and big things take time to happen ...
I believe Fundamentals are strong except three things which haven’t gone in our favour in last 15 months ,
- Cobalt / Nickel prices downturn last year and Nickel is already moving in upward direction now & Overall industry / sector pullback .
- SKI not putting any money down and optimism on options to be exercised by SKI which didn’t happen .
- Capital raising done a little late , should have raised $8-10mn from sophisticated investors around .085 cent levels during Burgen deal rather than doing 4mn Bergen and $5mn raise at .029.
Having said that they did achieve a lot in last 18 months and have definitely progressed from being a minor junior to a serious player , such as :
- Having 100% ownership interest in all projects .
- Skoni BFS release and decent annual revenue $512mn with a potential to have further improvement . Zero reflection of this in price as depends on financing and improved BFS.
- Offtake agreement with SKI , and zero reflection in price at this stage as zero skin in the game by SKI .
- Hiring and building up the team for future , not reflected in share price as we will see the magic of Marcus when he gets us some amazing finance deals and minimises our taxes once we are in production .
- Getting the prescribed status project from government , no reflection in price as waiting for clarity on SKI commitment and how much govt will fund and what the finance deal looks like .
- Demo plant testing and samples delivered .
- Finance deal discussions and closed door negotiations.
I believe once we start ticking of some
off the contingencies which is expected very soon and with the improvement in Nickel and Cobalt prices we will see a solid recovery . ( next 90 days LFA SKI agreement,
Naïf update , revised BFS, Scandium update and offtakr,
Finance update and Flemington update )
Its obviously sucked in lots of punters and those who are short term / mid term traders aren’t happy as they are stuck and someone like me who was mid term holder have changed my strategy to be a long term (3-5 years)holder for 50% of my stock and have mid to long term position (12-20 months) view on other 50% of my stock.
i made ( on paper a decent 5 digit profit ) on this beauty between Aug 17 to Mar 18 & had a free carry of 1 mn units by mid last year and now I have accumulated again as I kept on buying on every drop and all my profits are back in again and I hold around 4mn units & I am not panicking . I believe in what’s happening and I anxiously wait on what’s forthcoming ...
good luck & goodthingswillcomesoon.
cheers
TG
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Last
1.2¢ |
Change
-0.001(7.69%) |
Mkt cap ! $11.18M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
1.2¢ | 1.2¢ | 1.2¢ | $10.7K | 891.7K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 1325 | 1.2¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.1¢ | 1326 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
9 | 2044305 | 0.024 |
19 | 5623322 | 0.023 |
16 | 3694682 | 0.022 |
9 | 2661473 | 0.021 |
26 | 3055551 | 0.020 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.025 | 3845383 | 15 |
0.026 | 4804451 | 16 |
0.027 | 2002676 | 9 |
0.028 | 2560345 | 14 |
0.029 | 5351082 | 9 |
Last trade - 14.49pm 15/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
AUZ (ASX) Chart |