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Wink... I would suggest reading up on statistical "arbitrage" and volatility "arbitrage". My quant model does these trades for me. Mind you.. it isn't really an arbitrage since the profits are not guaranteed. It just has a better chance of working out in your favour if you mix the timing of the trades correctly.
After re-modelling this many many times, the trick is really to understand time to price retracements like gann retracements of fibonacci fan retracemtns. Might be difficult if you are trying to "eye-ball" the moves but I guess you could if you overlay MACD together and such.