CUX 0.00% 0.6¢ crossland strategic metals ltd

Hi StoopsFor the long term viability of a mining operation, I...

  1. 649 Posts.
    Hi Stoops

    For the long term viability of a mining operation, I prefer to do the calcs on the jorc resource of .03% Treo.

    In the beginning you maybe able to cherry pick the resouce with higher grades but at sometime you will have to mine less favoured ore

    I am not sure where you get your basket price from but I will use the one provided by TMR of $54 Kg

    http://www.techmetalsresearch.com/metrics-indices/tmr-advanced-rare-earth-projects-index/



    Two examples to value the concentrate

    1) Pg 4 from the DJ Carmichael report available from NTU

    http://www.northernminerals.com.au/new/index.php?option=com_edocman&view=category&Itemid=217

    "92% mixed REO will be priced between 60% - 80% of the 99%
    REO China FOB equivalents. Our model is conservatively based on pricing reflecting 60% of the 99% REO FOB
    China prices"

    and

    2)Pg 10 Peak Resourses scoping study

    http://stocknessmonster.com/news-item?S=PEK&E=ASX&N=616953

    "The price used for the cerium oxide concentrate is based on the October 2012 (FOB) China price of $15 for high
    purity cerium oxide discounted by 47% to adjust for the 65% purity of the product, resulting in an estimated price
    of US$8 / kg"


    I suspect CUX would sell its' 40% concentrate at a 60% - 80% discount to the TMR listed basket ptice of $54 =

    $10.80 Kg to $21.60 Kg

    Cost of wet and dry processing for:

    18MTPA = 18,000,000 x ($3.35 + $0.45)
    18MTPA = 18,000,000 x $3.80
    18MTPA = $68,400,000

    Tonnes of TREO produced:

    = Mined Alluvium x Grade of Alluvium x Recovery Rate
    = 18,000,000Tonnes x (0.03/100) x (70/100)
    =3,780 Tonnes TREO



    Value of TREO produced: (worst case)

    =Tonnes Produced x Value
    =3,780Tonnes x $10,800
    =$40,824,000


    Value of TREO produced: (Best Case)

    =Tonnes Produced x Value
    =3,780Tonnes x $21,600
    = $81,648, 000


    CUX will have to have a serious look at REO Concentrate refining and move up the value chain especially if they beleive it will be

    "low capex
    ? Mixed RECO3 product will be high purity & radionuclide free"


    Pg 26

    http://www.stocknessmonster.com/news-item?S=CUX&E=ASX&N=626283


    Tonio







 
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