re: Ann: WNI: Supplemental Circular re Takeov... Some...

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  1. 9,438 Posts.
    re: Ann: WNI: Supplemental Circular re Takeov... Some interesting notes on their own valuation (forgive my back of envelope style here) which would support a $6+ cash offer.

    - it was completed back in early August when the $Au was $US1.06 - so you can add a 5% premium to valuation straight away

    - the valuation does not take account of the circa $55M in cash that BRM has - so you can add another 40c/share for that

    - the valuation DOES NOT include any value to any of the other 39 tenements (including the new coal ones) or the other Fe projects including:

    ? Duck Creek (50MT resource estimate of DSO)
    ? West Hamersley
    ? Mt Stuart
    ? Opthlamia
    ? Mt Florance

    So you can add what you like here, but they would have to be worth at least 40c/share or more.

    So if the valuation is of the range $515-$843M

    = $540M - $885M (on the fall of the $Au)

    + 55M in cash

    + $50M (at least) for other tenements (IOH just sold 50MT to MRL for $42M)

    = $645M - $990M

    or = $4.47 - $6.87

    I'd be using their own numbers right back at them :)
 
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