Now that's a great post Motric.If I could encourage y'all to...

Now that's a great post Motric.

If I could encourage y'all to read this report
http://gswindell.com/sp158207.pdf

to get some real understanding of the production of the various counties and where Atascosa fits (in Fig 2 it sticks out like dogs balls that Dewitt, Karnes & Live Oak are the prime acres).

There are thousands of wells now in the databases that make up the type curves. You are always going to get outliers - those way above (which are always highlighted) and those way below (can't recall these ever getting a mention). But statistically shale plays are going to roughly follow the decline curve for the area based on the EUR.


I think this paper (geologically focused) shows very clearly & visually why Atascosa county is not such a good acreage spot for EFS (or other formation as well) .....

http://www.zenzebra.net/treadgold/SPE-145117-MS-P-martin-beihly.pdf