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1,056 Posts.
3
13/03/15
10:57
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The value for TPG lies in unlocking economies of scale from the infrastructure they own, mainly the submarine cable.
The accounting profit and free cash flow TPG are able to extract out of iiNet will be much higher.
Here are iiNet margins:
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Revenue |
Net Profit |
Margin |
FCF |
Margin |
EBITDA |
Margin |
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474,000,000 |
34,600,000 |
7.30% |
32,500,000 |
6.86% |
76,900,000 |
16.22% |
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698,000,000 |
33,400,000 |
4.79% |
50,000,000 |
7.16% |
104,850,000 |
15.02% |
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830,000,000 |
37,000,000 |
4.46% |
57,400,000 |
6.92% |
144,840,000 |
17.45% |
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940,000,000 |
60,900,000 |
6.48% |
51,808,000 |
5.51% |
187,010,000 |
19.89% |
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1,005,000,000 |
63,000,000 |
6.27% |
52,616,000 |
5.24% |
195,630,000 |
19.47% |
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Here are TPG margins:
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Revenue |
Net Profit |
Margin |
FCF |
Margin |
EBITDA |
Margin |
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446,400,000 |
-18,900,000 |
-4.23% |
-10,600,000 |
-2.37% |
24,900,000 |
5.58% |
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481,200,000 |
17,700,000 |
3.68% |
68,000,000 |
14.13% |
98,500,000 |
20.47% |
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508,200,000 |
55,700,000 |
10.96% |
92,600,000 |
18.22% |
171,100,000 |
33.67% |
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574,500,000 |
78,200,000 |
13.61% |
101,000,000 |
17.58% |
234,000,000 |
40.73% |
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663,100,000 |
91,000,000 |
13.72% |
150,000,000 |
22.62% |
261,406,000 |
39.42% |
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724,500,000 |
149,200,000 |
20.59% |
174,500,000 |
24.09% |
293,086,000 |
40.45% |
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970,920,000 |
171,679,000 |
17.68% |
223,500,000 |
23.02% |
363,700,000 |
37.46%
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Here is a rough calculation of what I thought iiNet would be worth to TPG based on economies of scale:
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Revenue |
iiNet NP |
TPG NP |
iiNet margin |
TPG margin |
FCF iiNet |
FCF TPG |
iiNet margin |
TPG margin |
EBITDA iiNet |
EBITDA TPG |
margin iiNet |
margin TPG |
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$1,005,000,000 |
$63,000,000 |
$177,705,058 |
6.27% |
17.68% |
$52,616,000 |
$231,345,013 |
5.24% |
23.02% |
$195,630,000 |
$393,050,794 |
19.47% |
39.11% |
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Last edited by
Cyph:
13/03/15
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