The value for TPG lies in unlocking economies of scale from the...

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  1. 1,056 Posts.
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    The value for TPG lies in unlocking economies of scale from the infrastructure they own, mainly the submarine cable.

    The accounting profit and free cash flow TPG are able to extract out of iiNet will be much higher.

    Here are iiNet margins:

                     
    1                  
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    4   Revenue Net Profit Margin FCF Margin EBITDA Margin  
    5   474,000,000 34,600,000 7.30% 32,500,000 6.86% 76,900,000 16.22%  
    6   698,000,000 33,400,000 4.79% 50,000,000 7.16% 104,850,000 15.02%  
    7   830,000,000 37,000,000 4.46% 57,400,000 6.92% 144,840,000 17.45%  
    8   940,000,000 60,900,000 6.48% 51,808,000 5.51% 187,010,000 19.89%  
    9   1,005,000,000 63,000,000 6.27% 52,616,000 5.24% 195,630,000 19.47%  

    Here are TPG margins:

                   
    1                
    2                
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    4   Revenue Net Profit Margin FCF Margin EBITDA Margin
    5   446,400,000 -18,900,000 -4.23% -10,600,000 -2.37% 24,900,000 5.58%
    6   481,200,000 17,700,000 3.68% 68,000,000 14.13% 98,500,000 20.47%
    7   508,200,000 55,700,000 10.96% 92,600,000 18.22% 171,100,000 33.67%
    8   574,500,000 78,200,000 13.61% 101,000,000 17.58% 234,000,000 40.73%
    9   663,100,000 91,000,000 13.72% 150,000,000 22.62% 261,406,000 39.42%
    10   724,500,000 149,200,000 20.59% 174,500,000 24.09% 293,086,000 40.45%
    11 ] 970,920,000 171,679,000 17.68% 223,500,000 23.02% 363,700,000
    37.46%

    Here is a rough calculation of what I thought iiNet would be worth to TPG based on economies of scale:

                                 
    1                              
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    4   Revenue iiNet NP TPG NP iiNet margin TPG margin FCF iiNet FCF TPG iiNet margin TPG margin EBITDA iiNet EBITDA TPG margin iiNet margin TPG  
    5   $1,005,000,000 $63,000,000 $177,705,058 6.27% 17.68% $52,616,000 $231,345,013 5.24% 23.02% $195,630,000 $393,050,794 19.47% 39.11%  
    6                              
    Last edited by Cyph: 13/03/15
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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