Q1 FCF was $246m with realised poo of $71.6, which had premium of $5 to the average Brent price in the quarter. The average price of Brent in Q2 is approximately $76. Assuming O premium, we should have an extra FCF of $25m just for the rise in poo
The PNG LNG stopped in Feb and started at the end of April, should contribute a bit more FCF;
Production should increase a bit too.
FX helps the earnings too.
Sum up, my guestimate FCF for H1 is US$520m, or A$690m at fx 0.75. Again IT IS for HALF A YEAR.
A 20% payout ratio should give a H1 dividend about 7 cents.
Note that the SP is determined mainly by EPS. With above earnings estimate, STO's full yeay EPS would be A$0.7 and the SP should be in the range from $8 to $10.
Ann: Santos announces sustainable dividend policy, page-21
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Last
$6.84 |
Change
-0.080(1.16%) |
Mkt cap ! $23.02B | |||
| Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
| $6.92 | $6.94 | $6.75 | $97.69M | 14.28M |
Buyers (Bids)
| No. | Vol. | Price($) |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 96681 | $6.83 |
Sellers (Offers)
| Price($) | Vol. | No. |
|---|---|---|
| $6.84 | 5679 | 1 |
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| Last trade - 16.10pm 27/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
| STO (ASX) Chart |