MLX 4.40% 43.5¢ metals x limited

Would you mind reviewing my numbers to clarify where I'm being...

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  1. 424 Posts.
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    Would you mind reviewing my numbers to clarify where I'm being unreasonable? My average case for MLX sees an EBITDA/Share of ~$0.02, therefore buying at current prices means price-EBITDA of ~18 (way too high) - keep in mind that I even gave Renison an extra 1.25kt of Tin, which is highly generous considering their FY19 production guidance is 8kt:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1433/1433054-766a2c5268356b42a0d9a2610c863162.jpg
    At those prices, surely one would think an price-EBITDA of ~7 would be more fair, hence $0.15? Keep in mind Cu has only reached >$10k/t ONCE, and tin >$24k/t ~4 times in the last 16 years...
 
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Last
43.5¢
Change
-0.020(4.40%)
Mkt cap ! $398.7M
Open High Low Value Volume
45.5¢ 45.8¢ 43.0¢ $1.862M 4.217M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 76054 43.5¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
44.0¢ 9761 2
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Last trade - 16.10pm 15/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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