MLX 4.40% 43.5¢ metals x limited

I think projections for Renison of 7,000tpa @ $9,000/t margin...

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    I think projections for Renison of 7,000tpa @ $9,000/t margin are reasonable.. that is $63m for 100%, $32m for MLX share.

    EBITDA missing two large expenses - tax (30%) and underground development / sustaining capex - which is large for renison. Therefore the multiple for an EV/EBITDA should be low.

    I always try to look at it from a cash point of view. If you assume operating cashflow of $32m less sust capex of $10m (MLX share) and tax of $7m (MLX share).. then ur only pocketing $15m in cash a year. Hard to value something which gives you $15m cash a year as worth $250m..
 
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43.5¢
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