Alright, I am as frustrated with this as you guys. So to get myself some perspective, I put a timeline of events together:
Looking at this, I believe LNY Management simply expected this to move a hell of a lot faster. But I don't think they have given definitive timelines.
In 2014, there was a bunch of drilling and at the end of the year, it started looking good.
In 2015, the ML was submitted and a bunch of waiting around happened.
In 2016, negotiations commenced, planning commenced... etc. In late 2016 they said they want to wrap it up in 2017, but didn't say it will wrap up. It was a goal, not a guarantee.
In 2017 they had the massive negotiation piece and went to court etc etc with a land owner. Only then can they start formal TO compensation and education/employment conversations. This has been progressing throughout 2018.
In 2018 they said, we will have this done in FY18. That was black and white. FY18 has been and gone. I believe this is the first missed outright goal.
In 2019 they said it will be done in FY19.... and here we currently lie.
So, overall, I don't think we have been misled, I just think everyone thought/expected this to all happen a lot faster. Who thought the landowner would go to court over compensation? Obviously we aren't privy to the ins and outs of that negotiation.
TO will take a while. Meetings aren't regular, they need to consult and allow time to consult. 1 Key person absent from a committee meeting and everyone will sit on their hands...
Now I am happy to be corrected, but after reading through all of my notes, and getting perspective, I believe we are on track.
Now I am not discounting I think the communications could have been clearer, and that there seems to be movement of execs without much communication to shareholders on why. Additionally all the fund raising etc, without opportunity of existing holders, therefore boosting main shareholders already huge share is disappointing, as I would like to be part of some of those deals.
We have had some good people at LNY come and go. Part of this worries me, as the main shareholders believe this can happen and will happen, but our key staff to execute key projects are being poached, or getting bored as its taking so long. So how are we going to execute once the paperwork is wrapped up. Do we have a succession plan? An update on the details of how we will execute would be fantastic.
Other Licences for additional context:
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 1 Date Document Grant Update Mining Update Change 2 1/08/2018 Quarterly Activities ML Grant in FY19 Shortly After Moved back a FY 3 1/05/2018 Quarterly Activities ML in FY18 Shortly After wet season 4 1/02/2018 Quarterly Activities ML in FY18 Shortly After wet season 5 30/11/2017 AGM Compensation Finalised, now on TO 6 30/09/2017 Quarterly Activities Progression with no timeline 7 19/07/2017 Quarterly Activities Progression with no timeline 8 Native Title Allowed formal commencement of negotiation 9 26/05/2017 Land Owner Lot 2 - Compensation Settled 10 1/05/2017 Quarterly Activities Progression with no timeline 11 15/03/2017 Half Year No update 12 30/01/2017 Quarterly Activities Grant after Land owner and native title Shortly After 13 29/11/2016 AGM Objective in 2017 - Get ML, start production. 14 31/10/2016 Quarterly Activities ML submitted in 2015, working on it. 15 1/08/2016 Quarterly Activities ML submitted in 2015, working on it. Shortly After 16 31/05/2016 Land Owner Lot 7 - Compensation Settled 17 1/05/2016 Quarterly Activities ML submiited in Feb 2015, ML is key 18 17/02/2016 Agate Update Appoint director, civil engineer 19 1/02/2016 Quarterly Activities HOA worked on 20 23/11/2015 AGM ML submitted in 2015, will allow to quickly move into production 21 8/11/2015 ML Acknowledged Commence Negotation 22 2/11/2015 Quarterly Activities ML submitted in 2015, working on it. 23 3/08/2015 Quarterly Activities ML Submitted. Early Days 24 1/05/2015 Quarterly Activities ML submitted in 2015, working on it. 25 2/03/2015 Agate Update Good drill results 26 25/02/2015 Agate Update Lodged ML 27 2/02/2015 Quarterly Activities Drilling @ agate 28 22/01/2015 Agate Update Initial positive drill results 29 6/07/1905 Drilling updates bunch of drilling upates, good and random results
March 2015 - Still in TO (georgetown)
https://myminesonlineservices.busin...yReport.htm?permitType=ML&permitNumber=100028
Feb 15 - granted 22/5/17 (georgetown) - Land owners in jan 16 (so 1.5 years from land owners to TO)
https://myminesonlineservices.busin...yReport.htm?permitType=ML&permitNumber=100026
Feb 15 - granted March 16 (charter towers) - land owner Jun 15 (so 1 year from land to TO)
https://myminesonlineservices.busin...yReport.htm?permitType=ML&permitNumber=100024
Feb 15 - Still in TO - still negotiation land
https://myminesonlineservices.busin...yReport.htm?permitType=ML&permitNumber=100022
march 15 - granted May 17 (georgetown) - land jan 16 (1.5 years TO)
https://myminesonlineservices.busin...yReport.htm?permitType=ML&permitNumber=100031
So, if you want my call on when TO will be finalised... Late 2018. 1.5 years from last land owner settlement. We have another 6 months boys and girls. Wouldn't mind putting a bet it will be the Noosa conference.