I hear Macq have just increased their target to 70c.
I use a very quick valuation (back of the envelope). The announcement said EBITDA is $126m. A stock of this type should carry around 5/5.5 Enterprise Value/EBITDA multiple. Assuming they have to raise say $50 / 60m assume average $55m, and at a discounted price on today's (lets say 44c)... that's an extra 125m shares on top of around 200m shares, ie 325m shares say.
EV/EBITDA 5.5 X 126m = 693m market cap / 325m shares = $2.13 (in production valuation).
Then discount this by risk factors associated with plant & commissioning issues, off take, financing and budget issues - many of which are almost complete. These guys so far have been almost on time, on budget, and done what they say they'd do. Lets discount by a whopping 30% & fair value I believe is $1.50.
BUY!
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- KLL
- Ann: Lower Operating Cost and Increased Production For BSOPP
Ann: Lower Operating Cost and Increased Production For BSOPP, page-6
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 8 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Add KLL (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
$7.28 |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $2.499M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | 0 |
KLL (ASX) Chart |
Day chart unavailable