re: Ann: Letter to Shareholders - Update on L...
Goodaye Kit, I have taken the Chairman's statement that 40tj/d will generate $50m revenue to WCL, as being based on the current oil-linked pricing. he does qualify that, by indicating that revenue will be predicated on the future price of oil. I really don't think that he would have given that number of $60m, if he were basing it on some pie-in-the-sky oil price figure in the future.
I would also mention that it is my understanding, that the price of oil is not the sole basis of the price which WCL will receive for its gas. I think the oil price is but one of the variables making up the GSA gas price. I don't have any further details of that. But it is my understanding that if the price of oil goes down, so does our gas price. Of course, the WCL J/V will look at hedging the oil futures, and the US$. I asked that question. Because I gather the GSA is in $US.
I can also state that virtually all of the GSA's announced in companies in which I have had an investment, NEVER state what the contracted price is. -- NONE.
example - Empire Oil & Gas contract with Alcoa. All those contracts which Strike ENergy has announced with Orica, Austral and Orora - none disclosed the price.
I have asked the question re pricing, and was told it was confidential, but referred back to the AFR article about month ago, which suggested that the pricing was $8/gj - and that fits in with all our figures. It's funny- whilst its confidential, I think WCL is not so subtly telling us what the pricing is?
so I think we do have the numbers for both the pricing, and the production. The current production is 12tj/d - and the target production is 65tj/d, ramped up over several years.
you are right that there is no absolute guarantee that WCL will produce 65tj/d, or that the price of oil will achieve or maintain a particular level. But hey, that's why we are on this forum, rather than leaving our money in fixed rate Govt Bonds.
cheers ( and you are quite welcome to purchase as many WCL shares as you can)
PS - Energisme - I hear Barry O'Farrell has been nominated for the Board of Metgasco - now that he is no longer conflicted!)--LOL
cheers
WCL Price at posting:
28.0¢ Sentiment: LT Buy Disclosure: Held