CMM 1.23% $6.41 capricorn metals ltd

Not a bad update, although I think CMM are a little, lucky...

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  1. 7,303 Posts.
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    Not a bad update, although I think CMM are a little, lucky timing wise. To use AUD $1700 for the base case gold price is unusual, considering that every other company I follow in the sector use a lower number like $1500-1600.

    So... the question I have for holders, is what do you expect the company to do funding wise.
    They need $132m to build the plant.

    But... that does not include admin for the next 12-18 months. Nor exploration, not I believe pre-stripping costs to ensure that the ROM pad is full of processable ore (i.e DCN and GCY recently banked 3 months worth of ore to ensure they had no chance of lower production, which cost them a lot of up front capital).

    Just exploration and admin would be $5-10m?
    Pre-strip, harder to know. GCY are open pit and estimated approx $10m for 3 months of mining before the plant came online.

    So my guess is they need $150m in total, plus another $10-15m to ensure they don't have to tap the market during commissioning, like so many developers have had to do.

    I realise this post may come off a little negative, but just trying to be realistic.

    If I was a hold, my preference would be to do a full 1:1 pro-rata to only current shareholders. Then... dilution is not really an issue. The $50m raised would almost be enough, with say, $90m in debt funding.
 
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$6.41
Change
-0.080(1.23%)
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