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For those fellow holders like myself who have been contemplating...

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  1. 531 Posts.
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    For those fellow holders like myself who have been contemplating whether to participate in the CR @ 0.005 whilst the share price is @ 0.004 the following maybe useful.

    I was wondering would I be better off just buying on market @0.004 rather than buy my allocation at 0.005?

    My analysis is based on the following assumptions

    1. If you buy on market you buy at 0.004 only
    2. However you buy, you only buy your entitlement amount ie 1/10th of your holdings
    3. The starting number of shares you have make no difference to the outcome
    4. There is no time value factored into the options ie if heads are 0.012 oppies are worthless, if heads are 0.013 oppies are worth 0.001 and the price always follows this direct relationship.
    5. No tax or personal circumstances are factored in
    6. This is neither financial nor medical advice so please DYOR

    So after crunching the numbers the following is the question I realised I have to ask myself.

    "Do I believe that the heads will be worth more than 0.016 before the oppies expire?"

    The reason this is the question is because given the above assumptions hold true then this is the price that your portfolio is worth the same whether you bought at 0.004 on market or bought through the CR. If the share price goes above this then your portfolio is worth more if you bough through the CR.

    This can be seen from the following examples, I just picked a million units as an example amount - NB it doesn't matter how many you hold the break even point is the same :

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9 Column 10 Column 11 Column 12 Column 13 Column 14 Column 15 Column 16 Column 17 Column 18 Column 19 Column 20 Column 21 Column 22 Column 23 Column 24 Column 25 Column 26 Column 27 Column 28 Column 29 Column 30 Column 31 Column 32 Column 33 Column 34 Column 35 Column 36 Column 37 Column 38 Column 39
    0 Current Shares Held 1000000       
    Predicted future Price
      $    0.016       
            
    Buy on Mkt @0.004
      Buy through CR
    Purchase same $ amount as CR
    125000   Cost to buy in CR 500
    New total share holdings
    1125000   New Share level 1100000
        Options 100000
            
            
    Value of holdings
    $ 18,000   Value of holdings $  18,000


    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9 Column 10 Column 11 Column 12 Column 13 Column 14 Column 15 Column 16 Column 17 Column 18 Column 19 Column 20 Column 21 Column 22 Column 23 Column 24 Column 25 Column 26 Column 27 Column 28 Column 29 Column 30 Column 31 Column 32 Column 33 Column 34 Column 35 Column 36 Column 37 Column 38 Column 39
    0 Current Shares Held 1000000       
    Predicted future Price
      $    0.015       
            
    Buy on Mkt @0.004
      Buy through CR
    Purchase same $ amount as CR
    125000   Cost to buy in CR 500
    New total share holdings
    1125000   New Share level 1100000
        Options 100000
            
            
    Value of holdings
    $ 16,875   Value of holdings $  16,800


    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9 Column 10 Column 11 Column 12 Column 13 Column 14 Column 15 Column 16 Column 17 Column 18 Column 19 Column 20 Column 21 Column 22 Column 23 Column 24 Column 25 Column 26 Column 27 Column 28 Column 29 Column 30 Column 31 Column 32 Column 33 Column 34 Column 35 Column 36 Column 37 Column 38 Column 39
    0 Current Shares Held 1000000       
    Predicted future Price
      $    0.017       
            
    Buy on Mkt @0.004
      Buy through CR
    Purchase same $ amount as CR
    125000   Cost to buy in CR 500
    New total share holdings
    1125000   New Share level 1100000
        Options 100000
            
            
    Value of holdings
    $ 19,125   Value of holdings $  19,200


    Based on this my answer to the question is yes I think it will go above 0.016 so for me the CR is the way to go. GLTAH.
 
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