GMC 0.00% 0.6¢ gulf manganese corporation limited

Ann: Gulf Signs Power Purchase Agreement, page-20

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  1. 550 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 20
    The agreement says the power station will guarantee up to 20 MVA, that's enough for the first 2 furnaces.

    And according to this research note

    http://gulfmanganese.com/wp-content...t-cap-42m-PRICE-TARGET-BUY-PT-0.028-share.pdf

    A price of 0.11 USD/kWh is a fair assumption.

    0.11 USD/kWh is currently 1540 Rp/kWh, which is higher than the price that Low Voltage (LV) connections (households essentially) currently pay in Indonesia. Medium Voltage (MV) connections (which is what GMC will have) pay 1114 Rp/kWh, or 0.079 USD/kWh.

    So, do we think they're undisclosed agreement (which is commercially sensitive by the way) is ~38% higher than the going rate for MV connections? If so then its close to what the research note has assumed and GMC still make a healthy profit. It's more likely to be closer to 0.079 USD/kWh than 0.11 though.

    Yes they need to pay for at least 40 hours a month (USD 61k/month), this is nothing, and not the concern, the concern will be why the furnaces are down...

    And PT PLN is state-owned, it's not going anywhere
 
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