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18/06/16
13:27
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Originally posted by pintohoo
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I will reply on your post - not so much for the MDR aspect of it - because that is pretty obvious - if it isn't MDR - it will be someone else in the future.
What you say - I have zero doubt that at some time in the future - will be the norm - except for one thing.
IMO - you can cut out the doctor.
Machines are already diagnosing in the high 90%'s --- CORRECTLY.
Doctors - are also diagnosing --------------- very very incorrectly - if they get in the 70's% - that would be lucky.
In many cases - they get 70% WRONG.
So - why, in the future - would you have a physical human with dismal diagnostic performance - and very very limited knowledge of available medications ---------------- 'checking' - or 'looking' at results - then, writing a script?
I can see the day where we might have very high performing humans on call to interfere IF things are not going as planned - but, by that time - machines will probably be doing it all anyway ----------- but, in the interim - it is possible.
Of course - it won't happen instantly - it will be an 'evolution' - but, with the way AI is going - it will be very quick - withing a couple of decades at the most I suspect.
The way things are now -----
if you go to half a dozen doctors for opinions - on many many issues -- you will come away with half a dozen different opinions --------------- and, you will be lucky if ONE of them is correct.
This is not an open bash of the doctors system ---------- it is an opinion based on my years in the health system and basic observation.
Even recently - over the last few years - I have had friends and family - who have seen one specialist and told they have cancer of whatever - and another specialist who says they do not.
Other cases - 'you have damage to your aorta' by one specialist - and another who says - 'no damage' is in evidence.
That's only 2 examples -- I have many.
And, if you actually fluke the correct diagnosis - then, you often see a nightmare wander through the medication and also surgical circles.
The kill and maim rates are massive.
Once we get to AI diagnosis where the diagnosis correct rate is high 90's - then, all that is left is 'how to treat'.
Surgery and life management is one thing - medication is completely another -
there isn't a doctor alive that knows details about every drug in every class - there are millions and millions of them -------------- but, - a computer can know that - far better than the very best human.
It can also know what is the next best thing to change to if the patient reacts with unwanted side effects - and has a far better chance of managing the problems to do with polypharmacy -
once you get into individuals and polypharmacy - the 'possibilities' are far far far beyond any human brain.
The way of the future is crystal clear --------------- machines - it's only when.
Pinto
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I agree that doctors quite often get things wrong and they also prescribe in cases where they should not.
You will still need that human element though IMO when it comes to someone's health. I think the doctors role will evolve to be more of a "health advisor" while also performing small procedures such as sutchering, burning off warts etc. As it is, many doctors simply try to match up your symptoms with those listed in a medical handbook.........it is too subjective, reliant on experience and simply not good enough! The diagnosis of conditions will gradually become the responsibility of new technologies and the sooner the better