AVL 7.69% 1.4¢ australian vanadium limited

Disagree. I am out, at least for now. The numbers of the PFS...

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  1. 7,151 Posts.
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    Disagree. I am out, at least for now. The numbers of the PFS haven't really changed since the base case, I still think they are good.


    This is what sealed it for me:


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1387/1387702-8f341caef554c1dfb06c03318af8ff9a.jpg

    It leaves far too much pricing risk. The base end of the numbers aren't that good. $13/lb case and above looks great. But we are in weak markets, steel demand is softening, which offsets some of rebar standards increase in demand. 3-4 years is too hard to forecast accurately for a project that still needs to raise $500m. Plenty of gains to be made later on if they do succeed in getting BOA/Finance.


    I really screwed this one up but I guess have to learn from these things. Been a challenging year but I hope to be better for it. 


    Good luck to all I will probably still post and try and be constructive!

 
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