Analysts reportedly doubt looming nickel supply avalanche
Analysts have cast doubt on the forecast nickel supply avalanche expected from Chinese-backed new capacity in Indonesia, according to Reuters.
The nickel price is close to a one-year low, impacted by US-China trade tensions and the ramp-up in nickel pig iron production in Indonesia.
The LME spot price fell below US$11,000 per tonne yesterday for the first time in almost 12 months, to $10,951.50/t.
Meanwhile, analysts told Reuters the high-pressure acid leach facilities planned at the Indonesian Morowali Industrial Park, designed to produce battery-grade nickel and cobalt chemicals, were unlikely to start production next year.
"There is panic about supply, but the Tsingshan project isn't going to hit the market next year," Red Door Research managing director Jim Lennon told the wire service.
Wood MacKenzie analyst Sean Mulshaw agreed the tight timeframe was unlikely.
Reuters said stainless steel would account for about two-thirds of global nickel demand this year, while battery demand was estimated at 4%.
CRU senior consultant Toby Green told a conference in Perth last week that unless a truly disruptive route to market emerged, the commodity forecaster believed the nickel sulphate price would need to rise to more than twice its current levels - to about $24,000/t - in order for EV battery demand to be met.
https://www.mining-journal.com/base-metals/news/1351586/analysts-reportedly-doubt-looming-nickel-supply-avalanche?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=112218-062514-796 - Nickel supply avalanche wont happen 25-year bull market for nickel High tungsten grades make explorer Happy&utm_content=112218-062514-796 - Nickel supply avalanche wont happen 25-year bull market for nickel High tungsten grades make explorer Happy CID_fc05ed5e1156898f
(20min delay)
