CITIC will NEVER balance out for another 1,000 years.
$10B capital, interest rate of 5% = $500m PA on interest-only payments. Plus they paid $400m bought 1 Bt of ore and paying massive royalties and tax, plus depreciation of equipments.... all for 20 mt pa.
I know someone very senior up in Chinese government. They are watching how CITIC goes before deciding further investment in magnetite iron ore (eg Midwest, Oakajee).
I think they paid $400m for Midwest and another $400m Cape Lambert... all doomed.
FWL does not have capacity to produce 20mt pa without railway. Further, as nose said this pig ore nuggets still in early stages. I don't see FWL going anywhere for many years.
Just IMHO.
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