Also why would they be sorting out debt if they just wanted to...

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Just_a_guy

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24/01/18

12:18

Post #: 30527809
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Originally posted by 6186mark ↑

Just a guy:
How do you rationalise the substantial difference in forecast cogs (product costs) and the actual which seems to happen every q with costs invariably significantly lower than forecast? At a guess their forecast cost and revenue is both on the optimistic side. I can't explain it, perhaps related to weather, people being more energy efficient than forecast etc. My forecast is not based on their forecast but on past actuals. Perhaps I too am over-estimating. We will find out.....

Also what do you predict the debt will do to cogs and receipts? I don't think the debt has anything to do with COGS. It is a separate line item, $37k last quarter. (Basically 12% interest on the amount drawn) . I think in future quarters overall debt need not get much bigger as the cash flow will (almost) finance the investment activities. Debt might peak at about $2m, or interest payments of $60k/quarter. In the scheme of things (eg $7m customer revenue / qtr) this is a minor item.

Do you see them ramping up into nsw as I do? I have no idea. I probably err more on the side of someone bigger taking them out before it gets too big (and expensive).

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Also why would they be sorting out debt if they just wanted to sell out? They have several quarters of cash remaining at current run rate (never mind improving run rate)

LPE Price at posting: 2.3¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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