EVG 0.00% 3.1¢ evion group nl

re: Ann: EVG commences construction on Las La... BB,With the POG...

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  1. JID
    3,568 Posts.
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    re: Ann: EVG commences construction on Las La... BB,

    With the POG continuing to look strong I wouldn't think BJ will pre-empt a low ball hedge. He has certainly aligned his interests with ours holding such a large chunk of the company thus I am sure he is making sure his timing is impeccable.

    I am reading more and more reports suggesting a near term POG of +$1200oz. With EVG incurring operating costs of $325oz for LL this would be a massive improvement in profitability.

    From EVG's own reports, they estimate the profit improvement per year to be +$10m from LL with every $100 rise in gold price. (ie project modelling at $900oz was $20m profit per year, lifting to $30m per year at $1000oz).

    Thus, if BJ is able to hedge at $1200oz then LL will provide $40m profit per year, all else being equal. (Pretty crude math I know, but worth some consideration).


    With Mac Bank a 6.25% holder of EVG and lending USD $35m to the LL project I would imagine that BJ is seeking/ getting some good strategic advice about gold trends, etc before committing to a fixed price either via a hedge or put option...

    Cheers
    John
 
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