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21/02/19
10:49
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He already explained this in one of the Question Answers.
The difference in the % is due to risk reduction as the date gets closer.
It drops down to 17% because it expects that by then there will have been a market update from India, so the risk will have been reduced.
Whereas at the moment it is 30% because you are still expecting they will have more delays like experienced in the past.