I have been maintaining for a while now that they should bite the bullet & do a CR, but they keep doing this peace meal crap which the market will punish...
Huge EBITDA downgrade (they're now projected to contract YoY)
- What do we know about downgrades... they are rarely a single event, so watch this space - they usually travel in 3's
Cash / Debt Troubles
- They got Kennedy to take $15m of their Div & additional small placement @ DRP price, as opposed to paying cash... Why? The obvious reason is they can't afford to pay it in cash & need the top-up
The reasons for staying away are growing but here is the nutshell
- Hedge Funds doubting the model's effectiveness
- Large number of shorts & climbing
- Upcoming legislative headwinds with largely unknown impacts
- The wider investment community now questioning the accounting practices (specifically the treatment of the RADs)
- Change in business focus from acquisition to organic growth
- Queries about the sustainability of the company's debt limits
- Potential CR overhanging the stock due to potential debt limit breach
- Founder Resigns
- Founder dumps his entire stake at $3.15 (10% then discount) due to it being leveraged
- Negative feedback loop with respect to brokers capping / limiting / withdrawing margin lending on the stock
- Lot of investors now under water due to it being at all-time lows
- Management staying quiet while the SP continues to fall
- Stock making lower highs & lower lows with no clear support on the chart anymore