Actually Jogo - from the logical sense you have shown I must concur and perhaps NST really are a sell.
From my calcs their net EPS from their previous guidance should be 50cps which at a PER of 15 gives a fair price of $7.5.
So yes perhaps the market should be selling and those that think NST will either make another tier one acquisition of 300k+ oz/yr should speculatively accumulate - because if my EPS calcs are accurate that would drive their EPS up to 75cps and by PER 15 make
about $11 fair.
Who knows, maybe the speech about sustained growth being the theme was BS - but certainly the reality is that so far it's played out true and the senior operational team they've put together are very worthy.
Ok NCM have economies of scale - but with that scale also comes a lot of inefficiency which I dont think ST will allow - hence in 10 years time NST may well be at a comparable price to NCM because already their FCF is so impressive against NCMs - yet for less than 40% the oz production rate.
imho
GFO
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