Ann: Commsec Investor Update Presentation, page-4

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danpech

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03/03/17

10:55

Post #: 23071439
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Originally posted by cmonaussie ↑

Hey @danpech how goes it! @sharks37 told me about this one and I did a little digging.

A major (for me) difference is how the 2 companies (i.e. ELK and Denbury Resources) describe the Grieve Project. Since I see you've spoken to the ELK CFO maybe you might like to raise this.

For the past 3 10Q filings for DNR (including the one filed March 1st, 2017), they have said the same thing which is the following:

Grieve Field. In the second quarter of 2011, we entered into a farm-in agreement, under which we obtained a 65% working interest in Grieve Field, located in Natrona County, Wyoming, in exchange for developing the Grieve Field CO₂ flood. We completed a three-mile CO₂ pipeline to deliver CO₂ from an existing CO₂ pipeline to Grieve Field in the fourth quarter of 2012. During the third quarter of 2016, the Company and its joint venture partner in Grieve Field reached an agreement to revise the joint venture arrangement between the parties for the continued development of the field. The revised agreement provides for our partner to fund up to $55 million of the remaining estimated capital to complete development of the facility and fieldwork in exchange for a 14% higher working interest and a disproportionate sharing of revenue from the first 2 million barrels of production. As a result of this agreement, our working interest in the field was reduced from 65% to 51%. This arrangement will accelerate the remaining development of the facility and fieldwork, and we currently anticipate first tertiary production by the middle of 2018.

The big point of divergence .... "first tertiary production by middle of 2018" which does not match what ELK is saying. Makes a big difference in that whole earnings picture that Brad paints

Good luck

Regards

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Hi Cmon, long time no speak.

I had noticed that too but it is not an issue.

The date Denbury state as first production by mid 2018 is the LATEST date they can contractually have the oil flowing before they pay penalties. All is on track at this stage for production start up per Elk's guidance. The pressure buildup in the reservior is as projected and even slightly ahead and there is the capacity to increase CO2 injection to 60mmcfgpd if needed.

As there is some further construction work to be completed there still is some development risk on the table but the Denbury statement is not an issue.... I believe ELK will confirm their current guidance when they report the half yearly results.

Cheers

Dan

ELK Price at posting: 7.5¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
2 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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Ann: Commsec Investor Update Presentation, page-4

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