My reason for holding is the fact they increased revenue by 32% while increasing expenses by 8%. This puts us in a strong position in FY 19 & going forward, and bring us close to positive net profits. I remind you that we are already making a positive operating cash flows, which will only go in one direction due to revenue is growing faster than expenses and at a good rate. These are my calcs for FY 19 & FY 20, D&A, taxes ignored.H1 FY19, revenue grew 24% faster than expenses, I am assuming H2 to be 15% as per the table above.
FY19 is already showing a massive turnaround in EBIDTA and FY 20 is likely to be a year of ultimate success with possible dividends given the revenue growth is sustained to these levels and expenses growth is constrained up to 50% of revenue growth.
FY 20 is also projected at 25% revenue growth and 10% expenses growth.
I also think the share is trading at a massive discount based on discounted free cash flows, these are my calculations:
If we continue to grow & keep our expenses growth up to 50% of the revenue growth, CAT should have the intrinsic value of $3.01. Even if I got it wrong by 20%, the fundamental value comes to $2.40.
I wouldn't sell if the CEO / CFO has or both have resigned. It simply means the job is up for grabs, and the change is always interesting.
DYOR !!
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$3.50 |
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-0.005(0.14%) |
Mkt cap ! $638.2M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$3.50 | $3.61 | $3.45 | $8.238M | 2.356M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
11 | 8796 | $3.49 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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$3.50 | 7185 | 7 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 10000 | 0.980 |
1 | 4986 | 0.970 |
1 | 1036 | 0.965 |
2 | 32659 | 0.960 |
2 | 41512 | 0.940 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.990 | 1 | 1 |
1.000 | 42518 | 3 |
1.010 | 10000 | 1 |
1.020 | 25000 | 1 |
1.040 | 18507 | 4 |
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