CAT 0.14% $3.50 catapult group international ltd

Ann: CEO Resignation and Transition Arrangements, page-134

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  1. 274 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 34
    My reason for holding is the fact they increased revenue by 32% while increasing expenses by 8%. This puts us in a strong position in FY 19 & going forward, and bring us close to positive net profits. I remind you that we are already making a positive operating cash flows, which will only go in one direction due to revenue is growing faster than expenses and at a good rate. These are my calcs for FY 19 & FY 20, D&A, taxes ignored.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1434/1434155-502a896aa866295a3c087ab696edbd7f.jpg
    H1 FY19, revenue grew 24% faster than expenses, I am assuming H2 to be 15% as per the table above.

    FY19 is already showing a massive turnaround in EBIDTA and FY 20 is likely to be a year of ultimate success with possible dividends given the revenue growth is sustained to these levels and expenses growth is constrained up to 50% of revenue growth.

    FY 20 is also projected at 25% revenue growth and 10% expenses growth.


    I also think the share is trading at a massive discount based on discounted free cash flows, these are my calculations:
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1434/1434163-0b38107e1b13d4dfed30cd5d999cc4f6.jpg

    If we continue to grow & keep our expenses growth up to 50% of the revenue growth, CAT should have the intrinsic value of $3.01. Even if I got it wrong by 20%, the fundamental value comes to $2.40.

    I wouldn't sell if the CEO / CFO has or both have resigned. It simply means the job is up for grabs, and the change is always interesting.

    DYOR !!









 
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