BOT 1.37% 36.0¢ botanix pharmaceuticals ltd

Phase2 clinical trials have a sizeable percentage of failure and...

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  1. 1,096 Posts.
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    Phase2 clinical trials have a sizeable percentage of failure and it makes sense to be prudent with the hint of negative results. You guessed it: to me it looks like a case of too much prudence (can be a bad thing).
    The future is uncertain, that's something punters must grapple with, my hunch on the recent trading is that nerves are playing out and are having a snowballing effect: it goes a bit lower till it triggers stop losses so it goes a bit lower till it triggers.....
    I don't think that a five harms double blinded trial of 12 weeks can 'produce' enough evidence to inform a large holder strategic exit (at a 20% + loss), not a week after the first (five?) patients have completed the trial.(?)
    There's been a 30% increase in volume of shares traded from September to October but it has coincided with the largest correction of the last years.
    As the say goes: better be safe than sorry: wishing you well with your remaining (and new) stocks.
    Last edited by aburbe: 04/11/18
 
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