re: Ann: Becoming a substantial holder in FMS... DB is a...

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  1. 8,786 Posts.
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    re: Ann: Becoming a substantial holder in FMS... DB is a principal lender to MMK ($500m). So won't DB be just a bit upset with its customer if they pull out of the TO and causes DB's FMS shares to drop to 15c -> $20m loss -> more if DB were expecting to finance the TO. What if DB knows the TO is a done deal and shorted their FMS shares before the Egorova injunction? Now that would be a cool $7m profit - but we all know DB wouldn't do that!

    As for the rail - FMG and RIO have 2 choices:

    1) Earning a bit of extra money carting FMS's pidley 15mt pa OR

    2) Have QR-National build their WA rail and deliver another 200mt pa to the market from the WA IO juniors.

    Personally, I think both the TO and the QR-National WA rail project will go ahead - The banks are awash with money and WA iron ore infrastructure is a better bet than Spanish or Italian bonds.
 
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