It will certainly be nice to see a cash flow positive quarterly,(my guess 200k) but I do see them as very backward looking for a growth company. They reflect cash received for a proportion electricity that may well have been consumed 6 weeks back into the previous quarterly and perhaps 6 weeks at the front of this quarterly. It is not an up to date refection of current revenue generation. It is the locked in capacity to earn 18% margin and the ability to grow that volume that is the real driver of LPE
A more up to date revenue number/position is generated by multiplying the last monthly update by 220k to give revenue looking forward. Assuming September at 130GWH x 220k = electricity revenue of $28,600,000/pa based on September numbers and each month it grows.
18% of that is gross profit or margin on sales $5,148,000 pa
Metering/conversion revenue(~7%) is additional to this.
One of the additional problems with quarterlies is they reflect actual receipts for the period, so are affected by seasonal consumption patterns, ie summer sales will be higher due to aircon loading, resulting in summer earnings being higher, even if the GWhrs under management are the same.
(I did confirm with LPE 220k/gwh is still accurate, so ~40k gross margin/GWh under management per annum, but be aware it is annualized so not 55k/each quarter summer and winter vary)
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It will certainly be nice to see a cash flow positive...
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