My reckoning was based on:
* Current business (without further acquisitions) will probably get to $50m EBITDA
* Acquisitions from debt facilities could by another $20m EBITDA (after synergies)
* EV/EBITDA of 8x (based on maximum Gemini transaction multiple of 7.5x)
* EV of $560m, less $40m net debt, gives $520m market cap
* 473m listed shares + 25m unlisted shares = 498m shares
* Share price of $1.04 (assumes the 19m unlisted options won't be exercised given the $1.20 exercise price)
There is probably capacity for more debt to be taken on for acquisitions etc., further synergies as they grow, and possibly EV/EBITDA multiple expansion but I am happy to cash out and move on elsewhere.
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Last
6.1¢ |
Change
-0.005(7.58%) |
Mkt cap ! $286.9M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
6.6¢ | 6.6¢ | 5.9¢ | $884.8K | 14.29M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 433192 | 6.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
6.1¢ | 291692 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 59761 | 1.050 |
3 | 2596 | 1.045 |
3 | 3726 | 1.040 |
2 | 2898 | 1.035 |
1 | 50000 | 1.030 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.055 | 77023 | 3 |
1.060 | 53603 | 4 |
1.065 | 51503 | 3 |
1.070 | 2503 | 1 |
1.080 | 1158 | 1 |
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